THE 48 DIRECTORY
Contending Nations & Difficulty Indices
Each country is mapped with its confederation weighting, Elo metric evaluation, and localized statistical difficulty indicator for their drawn route.
Spain
Favorable Path
Group Stage
Group H
Model Rank
#1
Trophy Probability
17.4%
Qualification Elo
2054
France
Moderate Path
Group Stage
Group I
Model Rank
#2
Trophy Probability
16.7%
Qualification Elo
2033
England
Favorable Path
Group Stage
Group L
Model Rank
#3
Trophy Probability
13.3%
Qualification Elo
2011
Brazil
Tough Path
Group Stage
Group C
Model Rank
#4
Trophy Probability
11.1%
Qualification Elo
1998
Argentina
Moderate Path
Group Stage
Group J
Model Rank
#5
Trophy Probability
10.0%
Qualification Elo
2015
Portugal
Tough Path
Group Stage
Group K
Model Rank
#6
Trophy Probability
9.1%
Qualification Elo
1955
Germany
Moderate Path
Group Stage
Group G
Model Rank
#7
Trophy Probability
6.5%
Qualification Elo
1910
United States
Favorable Path
Group Stage
Group A
Model Rank
#12
Trophy Probability
1.6%
Qualification Elo
1811
Mexico
Moderate Path
Group Stage
Group F
Model Rank
#15
Trophy Probability
1.2%
Qualification Elo
1790
Canada
Tough Path
Group Stage
Group C
Model Rank
#24
Trophy Probability
0.5%
Qualification Elo
1715
Senegal
Tough Path
Group Stage
Group J
Model Rank
#18
Trophy Probability
0.8%
Qualification Elo
1748
Japan
Moderate Path
Group Stage
Group L
Model Rank
#16
Trophy Probability
1.0%
Qualification Elo
1784